Claxton leads by two at Q School

Golf Betting Lines

12/02/2011 - LaQuinta, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Will Claxton carded a three-under 69 Friday to extend his lead to two strokes after three rounds of PGA Tour Q School.

Claxton completed 54 holes at 13-under-par-203. The 30-year-old had just one top-20 finish in nine Nationwide Tour starts in 2011.

Seung-yul Noh fired an eight-under 64 to soar into a share of second place at minus-11. He was joined there by Bobby Gates (68) and Matt Jones (70).

Billy Hurley III (70) and two-time Reno-Tahoe Open winner Vaughn Taylor (69) are tied for fifth at 10-under-par 206.

Players are playing three rounds each on the Nicklaus Tournament Course and TPC Stadium Course at PGA West. The field is halfway through the six-round marathon in which they are battling to finish in the top 25. That group will earn their PGA Tour cards for 2012.

The next number of finishers nearest 50 after the Qualifying Tournament will earn fully exempt Nationwide Tour cards for 2012 and the remainder of the field will receive conditional Nationwide Tour status.

Sixteen of the top 18 players on the leaderboard teed it up on the Stadium Course on Friday.

Claxton started with four straight pars. After converting a birdie try at the fifth, he gave that stroke right back with a bogey on No. 6. Claxton atoned for that error with birdies on seven and eight to move to 12-under.

After a pair of pars, Claxton birdied the par-five 11th. However, he stumbled to a bogey at the 13th. Claxton erased that mistake with a birdie on 14. He parred the final four holes to finish two clear.

Noh started on the back nine at the Stadium Course and collected three birdies in a four-hole span from the 11th. He sank back-to-back birdie tries at 17 and 18 to turn minus-eight. Noh had three birdies from the third to sixth to jump into a share of second.

There are several former major winners in the field this week trying to reclaim past glory.

Rich Beem, the 2002 PGA Champion, shot 67 to soar into a share of 33rd at five-under-par 211. He is just one stroke outside the top 25.

Two-time U.S. Open winner Lee Janzen carded a 68 and climbed 35 spots into a share of 73rd at minus-two.

Shaun Micheel, the 2003 PGA Champion, tripped to a 74 and tumbled into tie for 107th at even-par 216.

Former British Open winner and world No. 1 David Duval dropped five strokes in the last three holes to card a one-over 73. He slid into a share of 115th at plus-one.

NOTES: Claxton has one previous PGA Tour start and that came at the 2011 Transitions Championship, where he tied for 67th...Chris Tidland fired a seven-under 65 to soar from a share of 101st into a tie for 27th...On the other side of the scoreboard, Andre Stolz struggled to a 10-over 82 and tumbled from a share of 81st into 167th place.

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Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting

So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.

Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?

If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)

Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).

In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.

Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.

The Bubble Breakdown
CONFERENCE LOCKS SHOULD BE INS AT-LARGES TAKEN
(assuming no auto bid outlier)
ACC Betting Odds 6 0 5
Big East Betting Odds 5 0 4
Big Ten Betting Odds 2 2 3
Big 12 Betting Odds 3 0 2
Pac-10 Betting Odds 5 1 5
SEC Betting Odds 4 0 3
MVC Betting Odds 1 1 1
MWC Betting Odds 2 1 2
TOTAL 28 5 25

As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.

(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)

If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.

Atlantic Coast Conference

Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech

The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.

 

Work left to do:

Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.

Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).

Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.

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